New dominant forecasting method and redundant measure are defined for combination forecasting method with generalized weight arithmetic average , based on error of power of p 摘要從p次冪誤差的概念出發(fā),提出了廣義加權(quán)算術(shù)平均組合預(yù)測法新的預(yù)測方法優(yōu)超和冗余度的定義。
Firstly , the weighted value of every idiographic indicator in this system was established by analytical hierarchy process , and weighted arithmetic average was used to determine the analysis results of the indicators " values of six aspects . then the principal component analysis were used to calculate the principal component values of twenty enterprises that can be divided into five developmental types according to their principal component values . the five types were as follows : 1 ) highly developmental level and highly potential type ; 2 ) highly developmental level and lower potential type ; 3 ) highly developmental level and no potential type ; 4 ) low developmental level and highly potential type ; 5 ) low developmental level and no potential type 首先,通過層次分析法確定指標(biāo)體系中16項(xiàng)具體指標(biāo)的權(quán)重,并采用加權(quán)算術(shù)平均法確定6項(xiàng)評價指標(biāo)的評價結(jié)果;然后,結(jié)合gwbasic和spss軟件對六個方面指標(biāo)進(jìn)行主成分分析,得出各企業(yè)的主成分得分;最后,通過聚類的方法將調(diào)查的20家涉農(nóng)企業(yè)分為五種不同的發(fā)展類型: 1 )高發(fā)展水平、高潛力型企業(yè); 2 )高發(fā)展水平、低潛力型企業(yè); 3 )高發(fā)展水平、無潛力型企業(yè): 4 )低發(fā)展水平、高潛力型企業(yè);和5 )低發(fā)展水平、無潛力型企業(yè)。